TTWO stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Take-Two is one of the largest global developers and publishers of video games, with labels including Rockstar, 2K, and Zynga... Show more
Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) Stock Analysis: GTA VI Pre-Order Momentum Builds as Wall Street Debates Conservative Guidance
Key Takeaways
- Take-Two Interactive shares traded near $253.57 as of August 10, 2026, reflecting a modest gain of approximately 4.3% over the trailing 30-day period as investors digested mixed fiscal first-quarter results.
- The company reported Q1 FY2027 net bookings of $1.39 billion, beating its own guidance range and topping Wall Street estimates, though management left full-year guidance unchanged at $8.0–$8.2 billion.
- CEO Strauss Zelnick described Grand Theft Auto VI pre-orders as "exceptional and unprecedented" ahead of the November 19, 2026 launch, keeping bullish sentiment intact despite conservative official forecasts.
- Console net bookings surged 11% year-over-year, while mobile bookings declined 7%, highlighting a divergence that investors are closely monitoring.
- Multiple analysts raised price targets following the earnings release, with BTIG increasing to $313, DA Davidson maintaining $300, and BofA Securities reiterating a $368 target.
Current Market Snapshot
Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) has traded in a relatively tight range over the past month, moving from approximately $243.20 in mid-July to around $253.57 as of August 10, 2026. The stock has navigated a volatile stretch that included a sharp dip below $230 in early August before rebounding on the back of its fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings release on August 7. The broader gaming and interactive entertainment sector continues to attract attention as the industry's most anticipated title — Grand Theft Auto VI — approaches its launch date. With Electronic Arts taken private earlier in 2026, Take-Two has emerged as the primary publicly traded bellwether for major video game publishers, making its quarterly results and guidance a closely watched barometer for the sector.
Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Take-Two Interactive Software is one of the world's largest developers, publishers, and distributors of interactive entertainment. The company operates through three flagship labels: Rockstar Games, creator of the Grand Theft Auto and Red Dead Redemption franchises; 2K, which publishes NBA 2K, WWE 2K, and Borderlands; and Zynga, a leading mobile game developer behind titles such as Toon Blast, Empires & Puzzles, and Words With Friends. The company's portfolio spans console, PC, and mobile platforms, with recurrent consumer spending — including microtransactions, downloadable content, and in-game purchases — accounting for 84% of total net bookings. Grand Theft Auto V alone has sold over 230 million units since its 2013 release, demonstrating the extraordinary longevity and monetization power of Take-Two's key intellectual property. With a market capitalization of approximately $43.5 billion, Take-Two is positioned at the center of the global gaming industry's transition toward live-service models and sustained player engagement.
Recent Developments Driving TTWO
The most significant event in the past 30 days was Take-Two's fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings release on August 7, which delivered a nuanced set of results. Net bookings of $1.39 billion exceeded the company's guidance range of $1.32–$1.37 billion and surpassed the $1.37 billion Wall Street consensus. GAAP net revenue rose 2% year-over-year to $1.53 billion, also beating analyst expectations. NBA 2K26 sold over 12 million units — up 9% from the prior year's title — while recurrent consumer spending for the Grand Theft Auto series grew 3%. However, the quarter also included a $43.4 million impairment charge tied to the cancellation of an unannounced third-party title, which contributed to a wider GAAP net loss of $34.1 million.
Investor reaction was tempered by management's conservative second-quarter and full-year guidance. The company forecast Q2 net bookings of $1.62–$1.67 billion, well below the $1.79 billion analyst consensus, and reiterated full-year FY2027 net bookings guidance of $8.0–$8.2 billion versus Wall Street's approximately $8.6 billion estimate. CEO Strauss Zelnick described GTA VI pre-orders as "exceptional and unprecedented," yet the company maintained its historical pattern of underpromising ahead of major launches. The upcoming GTA VI extended look scheduled for August 27 on Netflix represents the next potential near-term catalyst as marketing ramps up before the November 19 release.
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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
The remainder of 2026 will be defined almost entirely by the Grand Theft Auto VI launch cycle. Scheduled for November 19, GTA VI is widely expected to generate one of the largest entertainment product launches in history, with some analysts projecting 15–20 million units sold in the initial window. Management's decision to keep full-year guidance conservative leaves substantial room for upward revisions if launch sales exceed internal expectations — a scenario that many analysts anticipate. Beyond the launch itself, investors should monitor the potential announcement of a next-generation GTA Online experience, which could serve as the next meaningful catalyst and extend the revenue tail for years. On the risk side, the high-speed memory shortage affecting console pricing and availability could weigh on the total addressable market at launch. The $80 base price for GTA VI and broader consumer spending trends amid macroeconomic uncertainty also represent variables worth tracking. Additionally, the ongoing softness in mobile bookings — down 7% in Q1 — warrants attention as Zynga's integration continues and the mobile portfolio faces challenging year-over-year comparisons.
Disclaimer
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TTWO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
TTWO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 17, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 59 cases where TTWO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TTWO entered a downward trend on August 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTWO as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TTWO moved above its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 50-day moving average for TTWO moved above the 200-day moving average on July 14, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTWO advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTWO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 97, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.285) is normal, around the industry mean (12.343). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.989). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.247) is also within normal values, averaging (2.158). TTWO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.057). TTWO's P/S Ratio (6.566) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.708).
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General Information
a developer of interactive entertainment software
Industry ElectronicsAppliances